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April 2013 Metrics

Overview:
  • The Business Expectation Indicator (OCBX) made large gains in Q1 and Q2 of 2012 resulting in a gain of nearly 45 index points from Q4 2011 to Q2 2012. Currently, the indicator has returned to more conservative levels, rating at 70.5 for Q4 2012.
  • California’s Consumer Sentiment Index experienced consistent increases since the recession before experiencing drops in Q3 and Q4 of 2011. For Q1 2013, consumer sentiment has surpassed 2007 levels for the first time since the recession. The index is at 100.4, well above indexes of previous quarters. The Current vs. Future Sentiment Index declined slightly comparing Q3 2012 to Q4 2012, but has leaped to new highs for Q1 2013, where current sentiment weighed in at 93.4, and future sentiment reached 108.9.
  • John Wayne Airport air travel declined in late 2008 due to cutbacks in personal travel. Since 2008, air travel has remained consistent in its peaks and troughs. Overall passenger activity at peak season improved in summer 2012. For 2013 thus far, passenger rates have declined from December 2012 to January 2013, and have declined further from January 2013 to February 2013.
  • The Ports of Long Beach and Los Angeles have both seen consistent growth over 2012, steadily nearing 2010 levels of port activity. Though 2012’s momentum has been positive for port activity, March 2013 showed a major drop in Los Angeles port activity, with total container activity dropping by 18% and Long Beach port activity dropping by 8% from February 2013 to March 2013.
  • The number of businesses sold in Orange County for March increased by 49 from February 2013, a year-over-year increase of 24 businesses comparing March 2012 with March 2013.
  • New car and truck registration rose during Fall 2011 before dropping in February 2012. Q4 2012 ended with a strong rebound year-over-year comparing 2011 to 2012. January 2013 recorded nearly 40% more new vehicle registrations than last January. Overall, new car and truck registration is expected to rise 9% in 2013.
  • Bankruptcies in Orange County have been increasing to the highest level since the artificial jump before bankruptcy law changes in 2005; however they are slowly decreasing since their six year high in March 2011. February 2013 saw a 10% month-over-month decrease compared to January 2013, and bankruptcy filing rates remain relatively low overall.
  • Office and industrial space vacancy rates have gradually decreased overall, and currently reside at two-year lows for Q1 2013. As the business climate improves and construction begins anew, vacancy is forecasted to continue its decrease.
  • Office Asking Rental Rates have continually decreased for Orange County and has remained flat from Q3 2012 to Q1 2013. Industrial Asking Rental Rates have jumped slightly in the beginning of 2011 and have since shot steadily upward from Q2 2012 to Q1 2013.
Introduction picture: Magnifying glass over figures and data
Table of Contents (click to jump to a specific measure):



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Orange County Composite Index-- Expansion > 50
Orange County Composite Index: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

The Orange County Composite Index is a measure of the results of surveys of conditions for manufacturing in Orange County according to Purchasing Managers. In order to have one single indicator for the performance of the Orange County manufacturing sector, the Composite Index that is a weighted average of the underlying indices. A value of 50 for the Composite Index shows a general expansion of the manufacturing economy of the county and a value below 50 shows a decline.

Source: Chapman University



Orange County Business Expectations -- OCBX Survey
Orange County Business Expectations Survey: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

The Orange County Business Expectations Survey (OCBX Index) is a measure of future business expectations by Orange County firms at the time of the survey. A value of 50 for the Composite Index shows a general expansion of the manufacturing economy of the county and a value below 50 shows a decline.

Source: Cal State Fullerton



California Consumer Sentiment
Optimistic: Greater Than 100

California Consumer Sentiment : Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

This indicator measures consumer sentiment for residents of California. The California Composite Index is generated based on three indices: consumers’ outlook on current and future economic conditions, and an index measuring consumers’ spending plan.

Source: Chapman University
http://www.chapman.edu/images/userImages/cwilliam/Page_4388/CSResults_2010Q1.pdf




California Consumer Sentiment Regarding Current and Future Conditions
California Consumer Sentiment Index
Optimistic: Greater Than 100

California Consumer Sentiment Regarding Current and Future Conditions: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

This indicator measures consumer sentiment for residents of California. The California Index measures consumers’ outlook on current and future economic conditions.

Source: Chapman University



John Wayne Airport Passenger Count
California Consumer Sentiment Regarding Current and Future Conditions: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

This indicator shows the total number of passenger boardings at John Wayne Airport by month.

Source: John Wayne Airport at
http://www.ocair.com/newsandfacts/airportstatistics.htm




John Wayne Airport Air Cargo Tons 2006-2013
John Wayne Airport Air Cargo Tons: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

This indicator shows the total tonnage of air cargo at John Wayne Airport by month.

Source: John Wayne Airport at
http://www.ocair.com/newsandfacts/airportstatistics.htm




John Wayne Airport Total Air Operations 2006-2013
John Wayne Airport Total Air Operations: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

This indicator shows the total number of tower operations (take-offs and landings) at John Wayne Airport by month.

Source: John Wayne Airport at
http://www.ocair.com/newsandfacts/airportstatistics.htm




Total Containers at the Ports of Long Beach and Los Angeles 2007-2013
Total Containers at the Ports of Long Beach and Los Angeles: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

This indicator shows the total number of TEUs (20-foot-equivalent unit or 20-foot-long cargo container) loaded inbound, loaded outbound and empties at the Ports of Long Beach and Los Angeles.

Source: Port of Long Beach at http://www.polb.com/economics/stats/teus_archive.asp
and Port of Los Angeles at http://www.portoflosangeles.org/maritime/stats.asp




Port of Long Beach by Type of Container
Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163
This indicator shows the total number of TEUs (20-foot-equivalent unit or 20-foot-long cargo container) itemized by containers loaded inbound, containers loaded outbound and empty containers at the Port of Long Beach.

Source: Port of Long Beach at http://www.polb.com/economics/stats/teus_archive.asp



Port of Los Angeles By Type
Port of Los Angeles By Type : Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

This indicator shows the total number of TEUs (20-foot-equivalent unit or 20-foot-long cargo container) itemized by containers loaded inbound, containers loaded outbound and empty containers at the Port of Los Angeles.

Source: Port of Los Angeles at http://www.portoflosangeles.org/maritime/stats.asp



Business Sales 2008-2012 by Region
Business Sales 2008-2010 by Region: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

This indicator compares the number of businesses sold by entrepreneurs in each region.

Source: BizBen at http://www.bizben.com/stats/stats-monthly-jan.php



Orange County New Retail Car and Light Truck Registrations
Business Sales 2008-2010 by Region: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

This indicator compares the number of automobiles sold by auto dealers in Orange County by type of vehicle.

Source: Orange County Auto Dealers Association at
http://ocada.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/OC-Covering-4Q-10.pdf




Orange County Total Bankruptcies 2006 2012
Business Sales 2008-2010 by Region: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

This indicator compares the number of bankruptcies since 2000 by court office in the Central District of California.

Source: United States Bankruptcy Court at
http://www.cacb.uscourts.gov/




Fictitious Name Filing 2005-2012
Business Sales 2008-2010 by Region: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

This indicator compares the number of fictitious name filings in Orange County since 2005 as recorded by the Orange County Clerk-Recorder Office.

Source: Orange County Clerk Recorder



California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Composite Index
California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Composite Index: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163
The California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Composite Index is a measure of the results of surveys of California manufacturing purchasing managers. In order to have one single indicator for the performance of the California manufacturing sector, the Composite Index that is a weighted average of the underlying indices. A value of 50 for the Composite Index shows a general expansion of the manufacturing economy of the state and a value below 50 shows a decline. The industries are classified according to the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).

Source: Chapman University
http://www.chapman.edu/images/userImages/cwilliam/Page_4388/PM_CAOCResults_2010I.pdf




California Indices for Industry Groups
California Indices for Industry Groups: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

The California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Composite Index is a measure of the results of surveys of California manufacturing purchasing managers. This chart shows three industry sectors over time. A value of 50 for the Composite Index shows a general expansion of the manufacturing economy of the state and a value below 50 shows a decline. The industries are classified according to the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).

Source: Chapman University



California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Production Index
California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Production Index: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

The California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Production Index is a measure of the results of surveys of California manufacturing purchasing managers. This chart shows the Production Index over time. A value of 50 for the index shows a general expansion of the manufacturing economy of the state and a value below 50 shows a decline. The industries are classified according to the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).

Source: Chapman University
http://www.chapman.edu/images/userImages/cwilliam/Page_4388/PM_CAOCResults_2010I.pdf




California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Employment Index
California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Employment Index: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

The California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Employment Index is a measure of the results of surveys of California manufacturing purchasing managers. This chart shows the Employment Index over time. A value of 50 for the index shows a general expansion of the manufacturing economy of the state and a value below 50 shows a decline. The industries are classified according to the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).

Source: Chapman University



California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers New Orders Index
California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers New Orders Index: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

The California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Employment Index is a measure of the results of surveys of California manufacturing purchasing managers. This chart shows the New Orders Index over time. A value of 50 for the index shows a general expansion of the manufacturing economy of the state and a value below 50 shows a decline. The industries are classified according to the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).

Source: Chapman University



California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Commodity Price Index
California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Commodity Price Index: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

The California Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Employment Index is a measure of the results of surveys of California manufacturing purchasing managers. This chart shows the Commodity Price Index over time. A value of 50 for the index shows a general expansion of the manufacturing economy of the state and a value below 50 shows a decline. The industries are classified according to the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).

Source: Chapman University
http://www.chapman.edu/images/userImages/cwilliam/Page_4388/PM_CAOCResults_2010I.pdf




Orange County Office Vacancy Rate
Orange County Office Vacancy Rate: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

Grubb and Ellis measures the vacancy rate of properties in Orange County on a quarterly basis showing the percentage of properties lacking a current tenant.

Source: Grubb & Ellis
http://grubb-ellis.com/Research/Reports.aspx




US Office Vacancy Rate
US Office Vacancy Rate: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

Grubb and Ellis measures the vacancy rate of properties for the United States on a quarterly basis showing the percentage of properties lacking a current tenant.

Source: Grubb & Ellis
http://grubb-ellis.com/Research/Reports.aspx




Orange County Office Completion vs. Absorption
Orange County Office Completion vs. Absorption: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

Grubb and Ellis measures the completion and absorption of square footage of space by new tenants over time.

Source: Grubb & Ellis
http://grubb-ellis.com/Research/Reports.aspx




Orange County Indstrial Asking Rents Orange County Office Asking Rents: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

Grubb and Ellis measures the rents requested by owners of office space over time. Class A properties are typically high rise facilities while Class B properties are single-story or smaller facilities.

Source: Grubb & Ellis
http://grubb-ellis.com/Research/Reports.aspx




Orange County Industrial Vacancy Rate
Orange County Industrial Vacancy Rate: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

Grubb and Ellis measures the vacancy rate of properties in Orange County on a quarterly basis showing the percentage of properties lacking a current tenant.

Source: Grubb & Ellis
http://grubb-ellis.com/Research/Reports.aspx




US Industrial Vacancy Rate
US Industrial Vacancy Rate: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163
Grubb and Ellis measures the vacancy rate of properties for the United States on a quarterly basis showing the percentage of properties lacking a current tenant.

Source: Grubb & Ellis
http://grubb-ellis.com/Research/Reports.aspx




Orange County Industrial Completion vs. Absorption Orange County Industrial Completion vs. Absorption: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

Grubb and Ellis measures the completion and absorption of square footage of space by new tenants over time.

Source: Grubb & Ellis
http://grubb-ellis.com/Research/Reports.aspx




Orange County Industrial Asking Rents
Orange County Industrial Asking Rents: Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.  TDD line: (714) 834-7163

Grubb and Ellis measures the rents requested by owners of industrial space over time. General Industrial space is space that can be used for manufacturing processes. R&D/Flex space is space that has more amenities and can be used for R&D purposes as well as be flexible for modified office usage if desired. Warehouse/Distribution space is space that can be used for the storage and warehousing of goods.

Source: Grubb & Ellis
http://grubb-ellis.com/Research/Reports.aspx
Developed and Maintained in partnership with Orange County Business Council
This WIA Title I financially assisted program or activity is an equal opportunity employer/program. Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities’.
[29 CFR Part 37], WSD07-6, 08-OCWDA-16